000			02587nam a22002297a 4500
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005			20210722163905.0
008			210722b ||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a9780198069416
041			_aEnglish
082			_222 _a362.10112 _bHUG
100			_aHughes, B Barry
245			_aImproving Global Health Patterns of Potential Human Progress / _bVolume 3 _cBarry B. Hughes, Randal Kuhn, Cecilia M. Peterson, Dale S. Rothman, Jose R. Solorzano
260			_aNew Delhi : _bOxford university Press, _c2011
300			_axvi, 343 p. : _bIllustration (Colour)
440			_a3
505			_aCONTENT _tList of Boxes _tList of Figures _tList of Tables _tAbbreviations and Acronyms _t1. The Story of So Far _t2. Understanding Health: Concepts, Relationship, and Dynamics _t3. Forecasting Global Health _t4. The Current Path as Its Seems to be Unfolding _t5. Analysis of Selected Proximate Factors _t6.Analysis of Selected Environmental Risk Factors _t7. Foreward linkages _t8. Broadcasting and Integrating our Perspective _t9.The Future of Global Health _tAppendix _tBibliography _tForecast Tables: Introduction and Glossary _tForecast Tables: Maps of Continents and Subregions _tForecast Tables _tINDEX _tAuthor Note
520			_amproving Global Health is the third in a series of volumes—Patterns of Potential Human Progress—inspired by the UN Human Development Reports, the UN Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) and other initiatives to improve the global human condition. Using a large-scale computer programme called International Futures (IFs), developed over three decades, and based at the Josef Korbel School of International Studies, the book presents the most extensive sets of forecasts on global health—providing and exploring a massive issue database and a wide range of scenarios. This volume builds on the work done by the World Health Organization in its Global Burden of Disease and Comparative Risk Assessment Projects, allowing forecasting of age-, sex-, country-, and cause-specific mortality. Along with exploring possible futures for the health of the world’s population, it also analyzes how varying health outcomes affect broader dimensions of human growth and development. It thus addresses central, policy-relevant questions facing most countries today. The forecasts are long-term, looking 50 years into the future, thereby anticipating the need of the global community to think well beyond the MDGs.
690			_aEpidemiology
700			_a Randal Kuhn, Cecilia M. Peterson, Dale S. Rothman, Jose R. Solorzano
942			_2ddc _cBOOKS